Rolex online shopping, Tuna Auctions, How the world got better in 2023, Mearsheimer on Gaza, The case for late bloomers, Benford's law of controversy and the Depressive Realism Hypothesis.
Well, we’ve spoken before about coming to the realization that “ (Almost) everything I thought I knew is wrong” and I’m relieved/glad to have fallen to the bottom of the slide in the graph you presented, past the embarrassment and at the point of having the humility to examine ideas from opposing views and continually amazed at how often I continue to have to reexamine my beliefs.
Very well researched and written piece here that I hope will give pause to many. Also good tie in to the watch collecting community although the bigger picture looms large over much more than our little niche.
Lastly, as relativity early collectors of the Elegante (my wife and partner has 3) I would definitely be 💯 👍🏼on the deeper dive!
Thank you for another thought provoking treatise! 🙏🏻☝🏻
Cheers B. Your humility was earned of course. Grateful for your continued honesty and for your approach to questioning my hypotheses over time. Revisiting old posts and tweaking the thinking has been a fun process. Don’t think there’s much I can tell you about the Elegante which you don’t already know, but... noted!
The hype free navigating biases pieces you write I think are always helpful to collectors both new and old.
Wei koh/sjx/dillon bhatt/wrong wrist rehash, hype, and regurgitate every release and every brand under the guise of being collectors so they can like and praise everything. Which can also be true, but it can also be true theres financial incentive somewhere.
I think you made the point a few weeks back, and I checked recently. Not trying to d*ck on them, but more an eye opener to the market. Furlan marri’s latest release still a month later has not fully sold out. So it’s been a month and they still have not sold 900 pieces at $3k. Similarly with ming, they had limited editions of 25 pieces released at DWW, these were priced after 25k and 50k i believe, and these have not sold out over a month later.
Lasty, purely anecdotally, some friends who bought literally everything that was plugged on social media this year now have regrets that their collection is filled with hyped rubbish. And all combined they could have instead bought a quality piece instead.
Lastly, whilst the elegantes lists remain closed and difficult to obtain at retail. Would be very interested in a deep dive. Similarly would be interested in such a thing for some of the other innovative pieces too.
I’d say better for new. Old dogs, new tricks and all that. Difficult to pry people away from their comfortable biases!
Didn’t realise the Ming drop was also unsold. Unsurprising, as you say.
The friends you speak of, ought to take that as a relatively cheap lesson tbh. It will make many future purchases more thoughtful; seems like a great deal!
Elegante is now akin to Daytona in terms of purchasing one, and purchase history required. Same as the CB. So it’s unfortunate, but duly noted that it might be of interest so I’ll keep that in mind 😃🥂
I'm afraid your take on the Journe situation will simply give others who want to believe that he did nothing wrong - but have an equally lacking factual basis to believe so - additional ammunition to claim: see? Even Flum with all his fancy words thinks Journe didn't do anything wrong, so he clearly didn't do anything wrong and I'm justified in my belief about it. It's much, much harder to actually engage in the questioning you're proposing and reserve judgment either way, which is really the most anyone without direct knowledge of the facts can do, and THEN continue to believe in innocence until proof of guilt or wrongdoing.
Excuse me, I’m too busy strolling the horological runway! 😆👑. And humans have such pathetic memories of things that never happened. Way to begin the year Flum! Bravo! 👏🏾👏🏾👏🏾
Well, we’ve spoken before about coming to the realization that “ (Almost) everything I thought I knew is wrong” and I’m relieved/glad to have fallen to the bottom of the slide in the graph you presented, past the embarrassment and at the point of having the humility to examine ideas from opposing views and continually amazed at how often I continue to have to reexamine my beliefs.
Very well researched and written piece here that I hope will give pause to many. Also good tie in to the watch collecting community although the bigger picture looms large over much more than our little niche.
Lastly, as relativity early collectors of the Elegante (my wife and partner has 3) I would definitely be 💯 👍🏼on the deeper dive!
Thank you for another thought provoking treatise! 🙏🏻☝🏻
Cheers B. Your humility was earned of course. Grateful for your continued honesty and for your approach to questioning my hypotheses over time. Revisiting old posts and tweaking the thinking has been a fun process. Don’t think there’s much I can tell you about the Elegante which you don’t already know, but... noted!
‘(Almost) everything I thought I knew is wrong’. Me too mate 🙋♂️
💯😉
The hype free navigating biases pieces you write I think are always helpful to collectors both new and old.
Wei koh/sjx/dillon bhatt/wrong wrist rehash, hype, and regurgitate every release and every brand under the guise of being collectors so they can like and praise everything. Which can also be true, but it can also be true theres financial incentive somewhere.
I think you made the point a few weeks back, and I checked recently. Not trying to d*ck on them, but more an eye opener to the market. Furlan marri’s latest release still a month later has not fully sold out. So it’s been a month and they still have not sold 900 pieces at $3k. Similarly with ming, they had limited editions of 25 pieces released at DWW, these were priced after 25k and 50k i believe, and these have not sold out over a month later.
Lasty, purely anecdotally, some friends who bought literally everything that was plugged on social media this year now have regrets that their collection is filled with hyped rubbish. And all combined they could have instead bought a quality piece instead.
Lastly, whilst the elegantes lists remain closed and difficult to obtain at retail. Would be very interested in a deep dive. Similarly would be interested in such a thing for some of the other innovative pieces too.
I’d say better for new. Old dogs, new tricks and all that. Difficult to pry people away from their comfortable biases!
Didn’t realise the Ming drop was also unsold. Unsurprising, as you say.
The friends you speak of, ought to take that as a relatively cheap lesson tbh. It will make many future purchases more thoughtful; seems like a great deal!
Elegante is now akin to Daytona in terms of purchasing one, and purchase history required. Same as the CB. So it’s unfortunate, but duly noted that it might be of interest so I’ll keep that in mind 😃🥂
I'm afraid your take on the Journe situation will simply give others who want to believe that he did nothing wrong - but have an equally lacking factual basis to believe so - additional ammunition to claim: see? Even Flum with all his fancy words thinks Journe didn't do anything wrong, so he clearly didn't do anything wrong and I'm justified in my belief about it. It's much, much harder to actually engage in the questioning you're proposing and reserve judgment either way, which is really the most anyone without direct knowledge of the facts can do, and THEN continue to believe in innocence until proof of guilt or wrongdoing.
Is that a bad thing?
How do you feel about people agreeing with what you say but for the wrong reasons? 😂
As a wise man once reminded me... “I am not the fvckface whisperer” 🤷♂️
🤣😂
Excuse me, I’m too busy strolling the horological runway! 😆👑. And humans have such pathetic memories of things that never happened. Way to begin the year Flum! Bravo! 👏🏾👏🏾👏🏾
Don’t forget to hold the blue steel for a little longer 💇♂️ 🙌🥲