20 Comments
Feb 21·edited Feb 21Liked by kingflum

Regarding the Piaget, a lot of bullshit being shared about that right now and people just repeat things without checking.. I did some research myself, and while I am still looking for the exact price of a Polo in 1979 I did find the 1977 VC 222 in solid Gold sold for 15.490DM (Deutsche Mark) as confirmed by a catalogue and price list from 1977/1978 I found (steel was 10k DM cheaper!).

This equates to just 6,673.85 USD in 1977 (or about 35k USD today adjusting for inflation), so 25k USD for a Polo in 1979 seems very far fetched.. I did find a 1974 price list from Piaget with comparable full gold pieces not listed over 7k DM, so half the price of the VC 222!

There is simply no excuse for the price no matter how some people seem to try to explain it, especially in a time where the (watch and general) market is in a decline. On the technical side people also get hung up on the Etachron, while that is a genuine disgrace on a watch this expensive, there are much bigger issues such as the general lack of hand or general fine finishing (rough machined anglage shows this) and the fact this case is made by CNC while the original was a completely hand-made affair. It's also a weak 3Hz movement without second hand, compared to a three-hand with date on the VC 222. The comparison is just ridiculous.

Piaget was much more respected back in 1979 and Gold prices did rise sharply in that year, so maybe there was some higher demand for solid gold pieces and prices were adjusted accordingly, but I doubt it was ever anywhere near 25k USD and would estimate 3,5-4,5k USD is more realistic given the prices from VC and Piaget in the 70's shared above (happy to share screenshots of the price list, which can be found on C24).

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Feb 23Liked by kingflum

Oh my, this one took a while. Fantastic job as always :) thanks!

I do think that on a long enough timeframe optimism wins though. And in general the perception of reality really depends on our past experiences.

P.S. Hublot-curious made me giggle 🤣

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Feb 22·edited Feb 22Liked by kingflum

I think a lot of the info in your Simplification section is pretty straightforward, but it is amazing how often we don't do these things. Being mindful is important. Utilizing mindfulness when we formulate questions and decide who to pose them to is important. I'm trying to be better about this.

A couple weeks back I asked for thoughts about a watch in a chat with a bunch of people I don't know. Why should I care what any of them think and why would I factor any of it into my decision making? Well, of course I would have loved to hear everyone say how awesome that watch is or whatever ego boosting confirmation that might have come out of it, but it wouldn't really mean anything for me as an individual deciding where to put it on my matrix. They would likely be empty affirmations and nothing more.

I turns out the only response I got was, "that watch looks cheap". I felt bad, started questioning myself, but realized I had no idea who this person was or what actual experience they had with the watch. The right question would have been, "Does anyone have this watch?" and follow up in DMs so that person could speak freely. I'm trying to do better here, hoping others can do the same.

The change behavior study was interesting, but I think conclusions can only apply to when we are being rewarded from an external source (I think the experimenters provided the incentives and they weren't something the participants already had in hand). I'm not sure it tells me much about how incentives might impact changing my own behavior if the source of the incentive comes from me. I think we've known for a long time that incentives from an external source can result in behavior changes, so I'm not sure the study adds anything new in that regard. I wonder how they could set up the incentive aspect of the study to account for this and its impact on our own behavior?

A most enjoyable lunchtime read today, thank you!

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Feb 21Liked by kingflum

Excellent post and some very cool links. Many thanks for the shoutout!

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Feb 21Liked by kingflum

Thoroughly enjoyed it. Thank you

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Feb 22Liked by kingflum

Lost in the links 🔗🫥🫠….. back later with some pithy commentary 😬…… diverse, educational, interesting and just plain fun stuff as always! Thanks for the insights 😝😘

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